Morning Thoughts – July 6

Morning Thoughts – July 6

Energy – Crude oil futures are positing a modest bounce this morning following yesterday’s smackdown off the 50-day MA.  This could be partly due to the above-mentioned saber-rattling, which is often times supportive for crude oil.  Additionally, yesterday’s API...
Morning Thoughts – June 29

Morning Thoughts – June 29

Financials – Over the past week we’ve seen a big surge in hawkish comments from central bankers around the world.  Yesterday’s key contributor was BOE chief Carney saying they may need to remove stimulus soon…nevermind that whole Brexit thing.  This is creating...
Morning Thoughts – June 28

Morning Thoughts – June 28

Livestock – Easy come, easy go for LC futures so far this week.  Monday’s surprising limit up reaction to a supposedly negative COF report on Friday was almost entirely reversed in yesterday’s surprisingly weak action.  In both cases, Monday and Tuesday, I...
Morning Thoughts – June 20

Morning Thoughts – June 20

Energy – Crude oil prices are trading at 7-month lows this morning following data showing the amount of oil stored in tankers reached a new high of 111.9 million barrels earlier this month.  Note the chart below is showing the 4-week average, which hasn’t yet...
Morning Thoughts – June 19

Morning Thoughts – June 19

Livestock – Early releases of expectations for Friday’s COF report are leaning bearish at this point.  Most estimates for placements I’ve seen suggest they could be 6-12% higher YOY. Beef prices were weaker last week but remain pretty firm overall.  Obviously we...