News and Blog
Morning Thoughts – Mar 1
Grains - I’ve started/stopped/restarted writing these comments today several times. To be honest, I’m at a loss for words following yesterday’s session. From a risk management perspective, how are we supposed to account for an unelected “regulation czar” sending...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 28
Livestock - We’ve seen a pretty solid bounce in boxes here lately. This seemingly has stopped the bleeding of the packers’ bottom line for now. I’m told packers are pretty cleaned-up in terms of their beef offerings so look for boxes at worst to remain steady but...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 27
Livestock - The COF report was pretty uninspiring, coming in pretty close to expectations. With that in mind, early opening calls are probably nothing special. That said, I think the market was fearing a more bearish report and the basis remains very wide. Combine...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 23
Financials - The FOMC minutes were released yesterday afternoon and they reinforced the overall dovish lean of the Fed despite recent commentary from Chair Yellen & Co. Immediately following the release the dollar weakened and gold bounced. Generally speaking...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 22
Grains - We have the USDA Outlook Forum on deck for Thur/Fri this week, and early tomorrow morning newswires will report the initial 2017 acreage guesses from USDA Chief Economist Johansson. These are not survey based guesses but rather “economic” based estimates. ...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 21
Grains - Last week’s NOPA crush report reported sharply higher soyoil stocks than the average guess expected, though we “knew” to take the over as we suspected soyoil use in biodiesel production would decrease in the new tax year. This was based on seasonal...
Volume Weighted Average Price
What is Volume Weighted Average Price? Simple moving average calculations assign an equal weight to trade prices at constant time intervals. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is an average price calculation that assigns value to trade volume rather than trade time....
Morning Thoughts – Feb 16
Energies - The crude oil inventory figure yesterday was once again deemed to be price-negative, yet once again futures mostly shrugged off this sentiment. I think we have to understand part of the “problem” leading to these surging inventory levels is a big downturn...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 15
Livestock - Cattle futures seemingly found support around recent lows and shot higher yesterday. It also appears that the beef pipeline is getting a bit more cleaned up and demand could be better going forward. Keep in mind Monday’s kill will be slightly reduced due...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 14
Grains - Sifting through yesterday’s export inspections details I found a pretty sizeable revision higher in last week’s wheat inspections to China. Considering our conversation from the past few days I found this pretty interesting. MYTD all wheat export...
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