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Demystifying Options
Welcome to the Demystifying Options Series The series will be informative, educational, and may even lead you to trading options. I will be using insurance analogies in order to help with relaying the concepts. The articles in this Demystifying Options series will be...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 13
Grains - I want to review the thoughts on wheat and corn from last Friday in a bit more detail this morning. I think it is very important to note the differences developing in the world balance sheets between the two markets, and I want to make sure we’re clear on...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 10
Financials - As you are probably aware, the Trump Administration lost its bid to reinstate its travel ban. This is likely to head further up the chain through the court system to the Supreme Court. He is using up a lot of political “capital” on this one item, so it...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 9
Grains – We have the WASDE update later this morning, but generally speaking I don’t expect many fireworks. Here is a quick rundown of items to watch:
Morning Thoughts – Feb 8
Financials - No change in recent themes overnight. Global equity markets are relatively flat and the dollar is higher against most other currencies. The dollar strength stems in large part due to euro weakness and ongoing concerns over political situations there. A...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 7
Livestock - Virtually no new cash market info to digest from yesterday in cattle, other than the new showlists which are once again smaller than the prior week. We saw a somewhat light slaughter posted yesterday and from the packers’ perspective this might be needed...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 2
Financials - Overall I would have to characterize yesterday’s FOMC statement as relatively dovish. The key point in the statement was the Fed keeping the same language showing “economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases” in...
Morning Thoughts – Feb 1
Grains - We’ve got a wet look to the forecast through northern Brazil and so we’ve got to keep a close eye on soybean harvest progress as it relates to safrinha planting progress in Mato Grosso. Obviously Mato Grosso accounts for a large majority of the safrinha corn...
Morning Thoughts – Jan 31
Grains - After briefly touching new highs soybean futures have been in correction mode for a little more than a week now. One market that appears to have no interest in any such corrections is the Brazilian real. The USD-BRL is on the verge of breaking into new...
Morning Thoughts – Jan 26
Grains - Export sales are due this morning, here are expectations: Corn 700-1,100 Soybeans 450-700 Soymeal 120-250 Soyoil 10-25 Wheat 200-500 Here were the flashed sales during the period: 1/17—103k mt corn to unknown for 16/17 1/19—110k mt corn to unknown for 16/17...
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